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Are you a long term winner? Are you sure?

Barry Tanenbaum has another great column up this week. This time he's discussing what makes a winning player, how long it takes to actually calculate if you are a winning player, and exactly what you should work into your calculations to determine if you are a winning player.

Barry says that you should take a few factors into consideration, including the rake, when you decide if you're a winner. (I really suck at math, so I'm using nice round numbers to reduce the likelihood of you all laughing at me.) For example, if you play a hundred hands at .25 a hand, you're being charged $25 (100 * .25 = 25. Yay! Math is easy!) This means that if, over those one hundred hands, you leave with ten dollars more than your buy in, you are not a winner! ($10 win, minus $25 rake, equals -$15 net.)Ha! You're a big loser and you didn't even know it! Ha! Your daddy never loved you! Yeah, I'm stupid. I messed up the logic and the math in my brains. It made sense to me in my head, but clearly I'm entirely wrong. Math is hard. I am stupid. Back to the post:

Ahem. Sorry.

Of course, if you're screwing around in a casino with your buddies, like some of us did during the WSOP, and you're pounding drinks and trying to tilt your buddies, then you just factor the rake (and whatever money you spend trying to catch your two outer to put me on mega-tilt, Amy Calistri) into the cost of your entertainment.

Anyway, Barry makes several very good points that any hopeful professional should consider, not the least of which is always keeping track of the rake (easy if you're playing online, probably tougher to estimate if you're playing live) so you know if you're actually winning or not. Barry recommends a tool called StatKing to track your win rates.

Barry also discusses ways to figure out if you're winning as a tournament player, and what's an acceptable BB/hr rate in both limit and no-limit games. He also takes a look at, and offers a good return for SNG players. Yes, I'm being deliberately vague because Barry is a friend, and I don't want to jack his entire post, so follow the link, and fill your head with all kinds of useful facts.

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